The SaaS Bubble Bursts (... What’s Rising to Replace It)

Nick Knize

January 9, 2025

2025: The Year of Search and Strategy

Part 1: The SaaS Bubble Bursts (... What’s Rising to Replace It)

Escalating Costs, Waning Appeal, and the Hybrid Renaissance

As we move into 2025, the search landscape is undergoing a dramatic shift. Escalating costs and dissatisfaction with rigid SaaS models are driving organizations to reconsider how they process and store data. At the same time, the resurgence of on-premises and hybrid solutions offers businesses a path to regain control over their budgets and operations. In this first part of our series, we explore the factors contributing to the decline of traditional SaaS models and the growing momentum behind hybrid and on-prem solutions.

Escalating Costs and the SaaS Model’s Waning Appeal

Cloud-based search infrastructure is increasingly under scrutiny, with over 82% of companies seeking to reduce their reliance on cloud services. The reason? Escalating costs, with some organizations reporting year-over-year increases of up to 30% for cloud-based services. Once celebrated for scalability and flexibility, the cloud has become a financial burden for many. Providers like AWS have introduced cost-shifting tactics—such as bundling marginal features on core services like S3, OpenSearch, and Athena—that inflate costs under the guise of added value. For most businesses, these features remain irrelevant, serving only to boost provider revenue while offering little tangible benefit.

Source: Barclays CIO Survey 2024 (image from Michael Dell

Articles like The End of the SaaS Era: Rethinking Software's Role in Business (Forbes) and The Cloud Over Cloud Companies (Financial Times) highlight how organizations are reassessing their dependency on cloud services, particularly SaaS models. Platforms like Elastic’s SaaS offerings and Amazon's OpenSearch Service are increasingly viewed as unsustainable cost centers. Even Reddit discussions, such as SaaS Sales Is Truly in Dire Straits at the Moment, echo these sentiments, with professionals expressing frustration about the rising costs and diminishing returns of traditional SaaS solutions.

For businesses with substantial search needs, the financial strain forces tough trade-offs in data accessibility and insights. SaaS subscription fees scale disproportionately with usage, making it nearly impossible for some organizations to afford comprehensive data search. This economic reality is driving companies to reconsider where data is created—and where it should be processed.

“Thinking in terms of where data is born” has become a guiding principle. For instance, data generated at the edge—such as in retail stores or military applications—rarely needs to be sent to the cloud, where processing is often inefficient and costly. Conversely, data created in the cloud may stay there, leveraging its scalability and convenience. However, SaaS enforces a rigid, cloud-only model, requiring data to be moved to the cloud regardless of operational or technical logic. This lack of flexibility is driving companies toward hybrid and on-premises solutions, which offer the ability to process data where it makes the most sense, whether that’s on-prem, at the edge, or across multiple cloud providers.

Elastic Cloud Reviews Exemplify Customers' Dissatisfaction

The broader economic climate has accelerated this shift. Rising inflation and cost-cutting measures have made cost predictability a top priority for decision-makers, highlighting the shortcomings of SaaS models. Organizations are now seeking solutions that prioritize scalability, transparency, and customizability over the rigid frameworks of traditional SaaS platforms.

The Return of On-Prem & Rise of Hybrid Solutions

Faced with mounting financial and operational pressures, businesses are increasingly turning to on-premises and hybrid search solutions as cost-effective, flexible alternatives to traditional SaaS models. These modern approaches combine the scalability of cloud technology with the control and predictability of self-managed systems, meeting evolving business needs.

Why On-Prem & Hybrid Solutions Are Gaining Momentum

  • Reduced Costs Without Sacrificing Performance: By avoiding SaaS subscription fees and leveraging optimized resource allocation, enterprises achieve significant savings. Hybrid models, in particular, allow dynamic scaling during peak demands without locking into costly, long-term contracts.
  • Simplified Management Without Legacy Complexities: Unlike traditional on-prem systems with high maintenance demands, modern solutions emphasize ease of deployment and automated management. Features like auto-scaling and regular updates ensure that on-prem and hybrid systems remain competitive and efficient.
  • Customization for Unique Needs: Unlike the "one-size-fits-all" SaaS approach, hybrid and on-prem solutions can be tailored to address specific requirements, such as geospatial search, high-speed indexing, or stringent compliance standards.

The rise of decentralized storage and compute options has further bolstered these trends. Companies like Garage and Fly IO are challenging traditional cloud providers with cost-effective solutions that reduce vendor lock-in while improving scalability and efficiency. These innovations align with the goals of businesses seeking alternatives to the SaaS model.

The resurgence of on-prem and hybrid solutions also highlights broader challenges in open-source ecosystems. Licensing controversies—such as Elastic’s shift to GPL—have exposed the risks of restrictive licensing, complicating integration efforts and frustrating developers. Debates around sustainable open-source models for AI only underscore the volatility of the space. Until more innovative approaches emerge, the cycle of relicensing and open-source tension will likely persist.

Ultimately, the growing adoption of hybrid solutions signals a fundamental shift. Businesses are prioritizing flexibility, predictability, and sustainability over the constraints of traditional SaaS models. This trend reflects not just a preference for cost control but a redefinition of how and where data should be processed to meet the demands of a dynamic future.

Looking Ahead

The rising costs and limitations of traditional SaaS models are forcing organizations to rethink their approach to search and data management, with hybrid and on-premises solutions leading the way. However, as businesses transition to these more flexible and cost-effective models, the role of advanced technologies like AI and vector search becomes increasingly significant. In Part 2 of this series, we’ll explore how AI is transforming search, separate the hype from the reality of vectors and nearest neighbor search, and uncover what these innovations mean for the future of data discovery and analysis. Stay tuned!